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Beyond CES...what will be causing buyers remorse?

Discussion in 'DIRECTV General Discussion' started by peters4n6, Feb 14, 2008.

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  1. peters4n6

    peters4n6 Legend

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    Having now taken the jump to MPEG-4 (Install date 3/1) from MPEG-2, I can't help but think about what will be right around the corner. Thanks to all who reported from CES 2008, but I wonder what is on the drawing board, what is the next product that'll make us all say, "Don't bother ebaying your HR20, it's worthless."? Look at my sig, I will shortly be the proud owner of a dish and satellite router that cost about $1000 and now has little or no use to me. I'm sure the HR20 will be in the same boat...someday. Does anyone know or care to speculate what is on the super-dee-duper secret blueprint designs @ D* away from public eyes (beyond what's been reported at CES)?...will the technology of MPEG-4 be around for a while? is it possible, apart from hard drive failure, that I'll own my soon to be delivered HR20/21s 10 years from now?
     
  2. Stuart Sweet

    Stuart Sweet The Shadow Knows!

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    ;)
     
  3. Drewg5

    Drewg5 Icon

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    :icon_cof:




    MPEG4 is the new standard, it will be around for awhile. :scratchin
     
  4. peters4n6

    peters4n6 Legend

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    A---friggin----men:gott:
     
  5. BattleZone

    BattleZone Hall Of Fame

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    The transition from NTSC/480i to ATSC/Hi-Def/720p/1080i is the first real change in TV standards since color was introduced in 1953. That's 65 years. Even if "HD" is replaced in half that time, that's still over 30 years.

    If your equipment is replaced sooner, it isn't likely to be because of picture standards, but features. 10 years ago, no one had a DVR. 20 years ago, no one had more than 50 channels. 30 years ago, few people had cable and TV was what you could pick up with an antenna/rabbit ears.

    MPEG4 does a great job with HD signals; heck, over-the-air ATSC still uses MPEG2! I doubt encoding will play much of a role in future changes.
     
  6. ChrisPC

    ChrisPC Godfather

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    55, actually.
     
  7. Jeremy W

    Jeremy W Hall Of Fame

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    People will actually be saying "Don't bother eBaying your HR20, you don't own it."
     
  8. Stuart Sweet

    Stuart Sweet The Shadow Knows!

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    Seriously, though...

    There will someday be something that makes you think the HR20 has got to go. What will it be? I'm sure someone somewhere has some idea but it's a ways off.
     
  9. tlouwhite

    tlouwhite Cool Member

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    Just imagine if everybody sweated buying new crap because it's going to be outdated some day...

    There'd be no incentive for advancement. We'd still be rolling around wheels with no axles.
     
  10. Drew2k

    Drew2k New Member

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    It will be a "green" DIRECTV receiver that has extremely low power consumption, has a slim profile with user accessible hard-drive bay so users can upgrade, supports both eSATA and internal drive use simultaneously, offers optical HDMI output, offers multiple streams output to multiple TVs, etc.

    In other words, a dream. :)
     
  11. n3ntj

    n3ntj Hall Of Fame

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    Yeah, multiple streams.. we still want DLB.
     
  12. Jeremy W

    Jeremy W Hall Of Fame

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    It'll be a much more powerful DVR, with a way cooler interface that is actually rendered in 16:9 HD.
     
  13. bjlc

    bjlc Icon

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    and actually 3D tv is coming way faster then HD is getting here.


    5 years max and HD will be obsolete. because 3D will be here for all those who have to have it first.
     
  14. Jeremy W

    Jeremy W Hall Of Fame

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    Ummmmm, no. Your post is wrong in pretty much every way.
     
  15. Stuart Sweet

    Stuart Sweet The Shadow Knows!

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    I saw a couple of prototype 3D systems and while they were cool, there was a severe limitation to viewing angle and distance, and they were basically SD resolution.
     
  16. kentuck1163

    kentuck1163 Legend

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    Hint on the future:

    DVR with Solid State Drive. Using flash memory with low power consumption, no noise, no vibration, and MTBF of >2M hours. Will allow smaller units and - eventually - decreased manufacturing cost.

    Only thing stopping this right now is size of solid state drives and their cost. NAND flash prices are currently plummeting and capacity will continue to be improved.

    I look for this in consumer devices like DVR in the next 2-3 years.
     
  17. lwilli201

    lwilli201 Hall Of Fame

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    At $3399.00 for 128G, it may be a while for that to drop to managable price.

    http://www.king-cart.com/cgi-bin/ca...emoright+2.5+128GB+SATA+SSD&exact_match=exact
     
  18. kentuck1163

    kentuck1163 Legend

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    I remember when my office purchased our first 1GB hard drive for an old Masscomp computer. The drive was huge and cost a small fortune.

    The prices will come down -- maybe not as fast as what I said, but it will not be too far off...
     
  19. bobnielsen

    bobnielsen Éminence grise

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    The first hard drive I ever put my hands on was a 10 MB add-on for a HP1000 in ~1980. It was in a 10 in high by 19 in wide panel-mounted box and cost several thousand.
     
  20. Jeremy W

    Jeremy W Hall Of Fame

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    I think 2-3 years is way too soon. I don't see SSD in consumer DVRs for at least 5-7 years.
     
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