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Directv and dish in 10 years
Posted 07 August 2008 - 10:34 AM
Tonight, if you want to watch CSI: Crime Scene Investigation, you have to wait until CBS broadcasts it at 9 PM EDT. In my scenario, you could watch it earlier, or later even if you forgot to set your DVR. You'd just download it.
Posted 07 August 2008 - 11:52 AM
All of the products you buy and all the services that are provided to you will come from these 3 companies.
Posted 07 August 2008 - 03:29 PM
OTA stations will be transmitting the basic cable to most Americans by lowering resolution to 320i and creating 30 subchannels per transmitter. They will have learned how to encode these channels and there will be an OTA subscription model to receive casble channels OTA. The FCC will write legislation to support broadcast exclusivity of subscription channels within a DMA.
Cable will die.
A single satellite company will survive. Its business model will be to provide a wide variety of programming by streaming it to a very large hard disc, where it will be accessed on demand as PPV content. There will be no live channels, thus saving the bandwidth required to show 15 repeats of the XYZZY show every week. The cable and broadcast networks will be relegated to those who don't want to pay for premium content.
All of the above networks will continue to evolve toward a common format and dumb down until they all have a rotating three hour block of a reality show, a reality competition, a 'news' show that reports celebrity gossip, a 'real' news show that only reports political scandals and an episode of Law and Order.