Well, I was 4 days off on my prediction and for that I beg forgiveness. I had actually heard the two parties were extremely close to a deal over last weekend and was surprised it wasn't done under my original prediction.
The reality is that this is a bad deal for consumers in the long run even though in the short run I'm sure many of you think this is wonderful. Your bills will go up in February higher than normal. That is a fact. This will give other sports teams the idea of doing the same thing, perhaps the Dodgers and who knows next.
In places like Los Angeles and New York, RSN fees alone will top $15.00 within a year or two (in NYC, they are likely there). It is unsustainable. For the very many people that live in these areas that do not care for sports, they are now saddled with a higher fee. My mother is one such person. She does not care for sports, is on a fixed income, her bill is going up signficantly as a result of this and other programmer fees that she doesn't care for.
Now, some people will make the argument that there are tons of channels that we pay for that we don't want. This is true, but everything is relative. That Sci Fi channel you don't watch costs about $.02, that Lakers channel you don't watch costs $4.00. This is why that argument doesn't hold water when the finances are put to the test.
My prediction is Pac 12 is unlikely in the short term, but maybe in 2013. CS Houston, forget about it. I could be wildly wrong on both of them, but with the Astros a pathetic team and the Rockets not great either, it's not likely. The Pac 12 has it's own issues, their ownership being one of them and the other the likely SEC network coming down the road. As good as the Pac 12 is, it's not he SEC. It's not the Big Ten. There is only so many dollars to go around and only so much bandwidth capacity. When you have to pick and choose, the Pac 12 is going to come in behind those players.
For those that wanted the Lakers channel, as I said you would get it. There was NEVER a doubt, but remember with every action there is a reaction and your good news isn't good news for everyone. The piper has to be paid and he will come knocking in about a month or two.
Sorry, but it looks to me like you are somewhat wrong in terms of how much this is costing directv. The spanish channel is not included in all the same packages as the english channel, which means they likely will not be paying that 4 for all the subs in the market, as that price was for both channels.
Yes it will cost us more, but it will be very interesting to see what happens next. I suspect there are several sports channels that aren't going to be very happy the next time their contracts are up, like speed, etc..
And I wonder what changes may be coming to packages and pricing in feb. Do NOT blame any price increases that are abnormal on just this channel. I am sure Viacom will have more of a hand in that then this channel. Not ot mention all the other things that where reupped this year, like cbs, etc, and possibly discovery and so on...
And I suspect that all the college channels will be a la cart here on out, or in a college sports channel package, or just not be on directv. I think at the moment, that is their hard line in the sand. I suspect big 10 will be very unhappy at the next negotiations.