By all means, let us not discuss it because you have decided how it all will work. good for you.
We can discuss it all we want and it won't stop the shift.
All the comparisons to music and books (and even movies) are doubtful because they were ALWAYS individual entities. Television is about series and continued programming like a baseball season.
And one can buy lots of series seasons on Blu-Ray/DVD. Even low quality ones where it raises the question of making any money on it. A season of a TV series on disc is just time-shifted. The only difference is that seasons are a longer movie broken up into chunks.
Paying for a season of anything is like paying for a song vs the entire album.
Do you really think that everyone has time to sample every program a la iTunes? How many people do you think actually select music that way? They don't. They see it on TV. They hear it on the radio (and Pandora is just radio delivered via internet), they hear it from friends. Just like they always did.
Something will trigger them to look for a program. In my family of two ~50 year old adults and an 18 year old we are not triggered by any ad on TV or hearing something on the radio. We all use a DVR exclusively and race past ads as fast as possible; it's very very rare that we will see something flying by and stop and look at it. We don't listen to the radio (or any other streaming music) (in our cars we listen to MP3 CDs with hundreds of our purchased songs on them). Nobody watches MTV or VH1 including the teenager.
I would suggest your perspective is skewed for whatever reason. My teenager - and all his friends - are the demographic that matters. He will never have a home phone line for example.
Ever seen the Reelz channel? They show movie trailers. Their web site has the same content. Doing the same for internet series would be trivial.
And you think OTA will continue. Yeah, right. See a lot of antennas around, do you? People JUMPED on cable not just because of extra channels but also because they didn't need an antenna. Plus all the horror stories of obtaining digital signal in rural, suburban and urban settings. Yup, OTA will continue on....
Then why did they invest massive amounts of money to install and operate high power HDTV transmitters? Pay for the bandwidth allocation?
You only mention cable. I see lots of DTV and Dish dishes everywhere. It's not about putting up warts. I have an OTA antenna smaller than my DTV dish.
I have no problem with OTA going away.
Your argument here is exactly why internet will win. No antenna or dish. One wire into the house that does all communications - video, phone, data. And best of all the delivery mechanism is an entirely independent service from the content. That's a combination that can't lose.
Meanwhile, the big money is behind the current system and so are the consumers. While cable and satellite costs are going up and people are grousing, just wait until they get their internet bill when they all cut the cord and cannot get bandwidth anyway.
There is no utopia and there is little movement away from the current model.
You realize your faith in consumer stickiness is misplaced, right? The only reason they are behind the current system is that it is overall the best available today
. As soon as it's not they will flee like rats. Blockbuster is all I need to say.