She screwed up. I don't get why the useless floaters and Amanda think Howard is a big schemer. Amanda is hilarious and I like her, but she is far more dangerous. Unfortunately, I think a useless floater like Andy or Jessie will go far. The house keeps letting Ellisa and Aaryn get off each week...they're going to regret it,.
If by "She" you mean Aaryn, then yes, I agree with you. I fully expected her to go against Helen and Ellisa - mind you I can't stomach Aaryn, but I also think she missed out on a perfect opportunity to make a power move as suggested by Howard.
I don't agree with your take on Amanda ... well let me change that ... yes, she's far more dangerous than perhaps anyone in the house short of Helen. But I also think she's hiding behind McCrea and that she purposely connives and manipulates people into thinking her way ... and I include the love affair with Pizza Boy in that opinion. I only hope the house sees it America's way and gets rid of her before she has a chance to contaminate the jury house. Does it show that I don't like her?
Be careful of Andy. He takes "floating" to a new level. There's hardly a conversation that he doesn't inject himself into. He's like a gnat flying from room-to-room looking for something or someone to land on. He is ever-present and, to me, quite transparent in his intent.
Jessie is a good tag-along. Her and Judd make the passable McManda, but a bit on the platonic side. I may be wrong about the platonic thing, but I stopped watching BBAD so I haven't taken a look at what they do behind the scenes.
But that aside, her and GM make the most plausible floaters in my mind. I expect they'll outstay a bunch of houseguests, but I don't see any of them winning.
Spencer is a conundrum. I can't figure him out, but at the same time, neither can America. Time will tell if he'll go the way of Howard or the way of Jessie/GM.
Howard and Candice for their part, could be "the" couple to beat, but they seem so intent on staying out of the firing line that they have practically alienated themselves from the rest of the house. I don't think this is good ... and I'm not rooting for any one of them either.
Helen and Elissa are the two to watch, IMHO. Maybe it's her demeanor or her social skills, but Helen has become growingly influential and is a strategic player. She bears watching.
Elissa, OTOH, is living in Rachael's dream world, even America got caught up in the sisterhood thing and made her BBMVP a few times. I'm guessing that America will soon grow tired of that, and it may be time for Elissa to play her own game and not Helen's.