Theatrical releases same time as streaming (WW84 opening weekend manages to deliver)

Discussion in 'Internet Streaming Services' started by techguy88, Dec 28, 2020.

  1. techguy88

    techguy88 Well-Known Member

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    Today (1/24) is the last day to stream Wonder Woman 1984 before it heads to theaters exclusively.

    New trailer for Godzilla vs Kong in theaters & streaming on HBO Max on March 26


    Trailer for The Little Things which is the next film to head to theaters & HBO Max on January 29
     
  2. techguy88

    techguy88 Well-Known Member

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    • Godzilla vs Kong moved to March 31, 2020 for its United States theatrical/HBO Max release. International markets will keep the March 26, 2020 release date.
      • There has been some speculation the domestic release date was changed due in order to make room for Snyder's Cut of Justice League.
    • Malignant (a New Line Cinema release distributed by sibling Warner Bros.) is now dated for September 10, 2021 (previously was an undated release). This film is part of the hybrid theatrical/HBO Max release strategy WB is employing for its 2021 films.
    • The Little Things review embargo has lifted and the film has been hovering around 50% to 55% on Rotten Tomatoes (as of this post it is at 52%).
    Current Warner Bros. hybrid theatrical/HBO Max release schedule as of 1/26/21:
    • The Little Things - January 29
    • Judas and the Black Messiah - February 12
    • Tom and Jerry - February 26
    • Godzilla vs. Kong - March 31 [Previous 2021 date(s): May 21, March 26 (domestic)]
      • Still scheduled to premiere in theaters internationally on March 26.
    • Mortal Kombat - April 16
    • The Conjuring: The Devil Made Me Do It - June 4
    • In the Heights - June 18
    • Space Jam: A New Legacy - July 16
    • The Suicide Squad - August 6
    • Malignant - September 10 [Previous 2021 date(s): Undated]
    • The Many Saints of Newark - September 24 [Previous 2021 date(s): March 12]
    • Dune - October 1
    • Elvis - November 5
    • King Richard - November 19
    • Matrix 4 - December 22
    • Cry Macho - TBA
    • Reminiscence - TBA
    • Those Who Wish Me Dead - TBA
     
    Last edited: Jan 26, 2021
  3. techguy88

    techguy88 Well-Known Member

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    Other 2021 release information:
    • MGM, Universal, Sony & Disney delays their January - April 2021 release slate for the second half of 2021 and first part of 2022. The earliest blockbuster now scheduled exclusively for theaters is Marvel's Black Widow currently keeping its May 7th window. (I suspect this date is highly likely to change if things don't keep improving.)
    • Searchlight Pictures (a subsidiary of Disney) will premiere Nomadland in IMAX theaters domestically on January 29, 2021 followed by a hybrid theatrical/Hulu release on February 19, 2021.
    • Disney's Raya and the Last Dragon new trailer dropped today. This film is scheduled for a hybrid release via theatrical/Disney+ with Premier Access on March 5.
    Raya and the Last Dragon - Official Trailer


    Nomadland - Official Trailer
     
  4. techguy88

    techguy88 Well-Known Member

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    Nielsen has updated their streaming chart for the week of December 21-27 to include Wonder Woman 1984 on HBO Max. WW84 knocked Disney+'s Soul out of the top spot down to #2. From Deadline

    Nielsen currently tracks Netflix, Prime Video, Disney+ & Hulu on a regular basis. Nielsen said it would soon add HBO Max & Peacock to its regular rotation which will be interesting to see as The Office ended 2020 as being the most streamed show of the year when it was on Netflix.
     
  5. techguy88

    techguy88 Well-Known Member

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    Raya and the Last Dragon -- Release Information:
    Release Date: March 5, 2021 in theaters and on Disney+ with Premier Access

    Premier Access information:
    • Price: $29.99 one-time
    • You can pre-order Raya now and start watching it on release day. Requires a base Disney+ subscription to order Premier Access.
      • Theaters that are open are starting to sell advance tickets to this movie as well.
    • Premier Access offer ends on May 4, 2021 at 11:59 PT.
    • Raya and the Last Dragon will be available to all Disney+ subscribers on June 4, 2021 at no additional cost.

    Warner Bros. theatrical films premiering same day & date on HBO Max (January - March)
    *Available at no extra cost to HBO Max subscribers. Available for 31 days from theatrical release.
    • The Little Things - Available Now - Leaves HBO Max on March 1, 2021
    • Judas and the Black Messiah - February 12 - Theaters that are open are selling tickets in advance.
    • Tom and Jerry - February 26 - Theaters that are open are selling tickets in advance.
    • Godzilla vs. Kong - March 31
    I'm expecting the industry websites that follow the box office to see Tom and Jerry & Raya and the Last Dragon as the first big head to head box office battle of 2021 since they are both targeting families. Up until 2/26 & 3/5 The Croods: A New Age has been the only major family film released.
     
  6. techguy88

    techguy88 Well-Known Member

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    Judas and the Black Messiah reviews from critics are now live on Rotten Tomatoes. As of this post the film has a 98% certified fresh rating based on 104 reviews. I'm just hoping this doesn't turn into a repeat of Wonder Woman 1984's ratings where it was certified fresh early on but then once released dropped to a 59%. (All RT scores are as of this post.)

     
  7. harsh

    harsh Beware the Attack Basset

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    Little Things still doesn't appear to be doing very well and isn't even getting a top level spot in the list.
     
  8. techguy88

    techguy88 Well-Known Member

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    Based on the pandemic box office standards The Little Things is doing as expected. It has been the #1 film for the past two weekends. For its first weekend it grossed $4.8 million at the domestic box office which Deadline noted was the best for a R-rated film during the pandemic. For its second weekend it grossed $2.1 million which Deadline noted its second weekend gross is in line with Liam Neelson's action flicks released during the pandemic.

    Warners said it was the most streamed film on HBO Max when it premiered. If you are looking for streaming numbers from the likes of Nielson those are not available since HBO Max and Peacock are currently not regularly monitored.

    So my guess is the film is performing as expected during the pandemic but it isn't going above the expectations.

    The next real test of these different pandemic release strategies will be Warners Tom & Jerry and Disney's Raya. I expect both films will be heavily compared to Croods' theatrical performance since that film has generated over $1 million for 11 weeks straight despite being available as a PVOD rental since its 4th week.

    Starting this week will be interesting for Croods since it is still in a wide theatrical release and it is now available for digital purchase for $19.99. Croods is scheduled for a home media + digital copy release on Feb. 23.
     
  9. techguy88

    techguy88 Well-Known Member

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    • After 18 days exclusively in theaters (January 25 - February 11) -- Wonder Woman 1984 is now available on Premium Video On Demand in the United States. It costs $19.99 for a 2 day rental.
     
  10. techguy88

    techguy88 Well-Known Member

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    President's Day weekend Box Office results - Deadline

    Highlights:
    • The Croods: A New Age manages to top the pandemic box office in its 12th week of release. This weekend is the first week the film is available for digital purchase after moving out of the Premium VOD window.
      • Deadline notes a No.1 resurgence this late into a release is "unheard-of in recent box office history for any wide entry" and notes you have to go back to the 80's when this last happened.
    • Warner Bros. new film Judas and The Black Messiah is tied with The Little Things for the 2nd & 3rd spots.
      • Both films are expected to gross $2 million within the traditional 3-day weekend (Feb 12-14) and are expected to gross $2.4 million during the 4-day holiday window (Feb 12-15)
    • Open Road's The Marksman and Warner Bros. Wonder Woman 1984 tie for the 4th & 5th spots.
    • Land directed by Robin Wright is the only other new film this weekend placing at #6 with a 3 day gross at $940K and a 4 day projected gross of $1.07 million
    • This is the last week Screen Gem's Monster Hunter is a theatrical exclusive as it moves into its digital purchase window on February 16 and will be available for digital rental and physical purchase on March 2.
    Warner Bros. specific highlights:
    • Despite the controversial move by Warners to have their 2021 theatrical slate premiere on HBO Max at the same time, Warners currently has 3 films in the top 5. Deadline notes:
    • The Little Things had a drop of 5% in its 3rd week. This is the first Warner Bros. pandemic release not to have a double digit drop going from Wk 2 to Wk 3. In comparison Tenet which was released back in Summer 2020 experienced a 30% drop from Wk 2 to Wk 3 despite being in more theaters than The Little Things. Wonder Woman 1984 had a 45% drop going from Wk 2 to Wk 3.
    • Wonder Woman 1984 increased its gross by 22% going from Wk 7 to Wk 8 most likely due to the holiday.
    • Wonder Woman 1984 is now on Premium VOD and will be available for digital purchase on March 16 with a 4K Blu-Ray, Blu-Ray & DVD release to follow on March 30. This is different from Tenet's release where there was no PVOD window and the digital & physical release was on the same day (December 15, 2020).
    BO212215.png

    Upcoming Highlights:
    • Searchlight's Nomadland will have a wider theatrical release on February 19, 2021 and premiere on Hulu at the same time.
    • Warner Bros. next theatrical/HBO Max release will be Tom & Jerry on February 26
    • Disney will finally get back into the theatrical box office game with Raya and the Last Dragon releasing in theaters and on Disney+ with Premier Access on March 5
     
    Last edited: Feb 14, 2021
  11. techguy88

    techguy88 Well-Known Member

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    Not much excitement at the pitiful pandemic box office this week.

    Croods
    still claims the #1 spot and The Little Things moved back into #2. These were the only two films to gross over $1 million this week with $1.7 million for Croods and $1.2 million for The Little Things. Warners also took the #3 and #4 spots with Judas and the Black Messiah ($905K) and Wonder Woman 1984 ($805K). Croods is roughly about $7 million away from betting Tenet as the highest grossing domestic film at the pandemic box office.

    Nomadland was given a wide release this weekend on February 19th along with a same day release on Hulu. Searchlight Pictures (now owned by Disney) did not report any official figures but it is estimated the film has made $503K this weekend plus $170K from the prior two weeks during its IMAX run bringing its estimated total to $673K. Since Neilson tracks Hulu in its SVOD charts we should see if this film managed to crack Neilson's Top 10 streaming movies in about 2-3 weeks when the report for this week comes out. In addition to Hulu, Neilson also tracks Netflix, Disney+ and Prime Video.

    Starting February 26th Croods will finally have some competition in the kids & family space when Warners releases Tom & Jerry in theaters & HBO Max. The following week Disney will unleash Raya and the Last Dragon on March 5 in theaters & Disney+ with Premier Access.

    Raya
    will be the first film from Walt Disney Pictures to have any kind of domestic theatrical release since theaters initially closed shortly after Onward was released to theaters in March 2020. During the pandemic all theatrical releases from Disney up to this point have been through a former 20th Century Fox studio (The New Mutants, The Personal History of David Copperfield, The Empty Man and Nomadland.)

    The next two weekends will be interesting to see if Tom & Jerry and Raya and the Last Dragon can make any big impact and dethrone Croods at the box office and which theatrical/streaming title comes out on top in their respective opening weekends.

    Mortal Kombat's "Restricted" trailer premiered this week. This film is due to be released in theaters and HBO Max on April 16.

     
  12. techguy88

    techguy88 Well-Known Member

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    FYI: Tom & Jerry will premiere on HBO Max at 12:01 AM PT / 3:01 AM ET and will be available through March 28th.
    Last Chance: The Little Things will leave HBO Max soon. The film will be available through February 28th.
     
  13. techguy88

    techguy88 Well-Known Member

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    Warner Bros’ ‘Tom & Jerry’ Serving Up $12.5M Opening, Second-Best Opening During Pandemic – Deadline

    Tom & Jerry generated $4 million at the box office on Friday alone. In comparison Warner Bros. R-rated The Little Things generated $4.5 million in its opening weekend. Tom & Jerry is on track to finish its opening weekend with a projected $12.5 million. This would put the film in 2nd place for best opening for a film during a pandemic after Wonder Woman's 1984 $16.4 million opening. Roughly 50% of theaters are still closed in the United States. New York City is set to have its theaters re-open next week.

    For comparison Universal's The Croods: A New Age's 3-day weekend opening grossed $9.7 million. Since The Croods 2 has had legs in theaters for 14 weeks (being the #1 film for five of those weeks) and made $52.5 million domestically at the box office Deadline thinks the film could have legs in theaters.

    Despite a low RT critic score (currently at 24%), audiences seem to like the film. It got a A- on CinemaScore and an 81%/4 stars from PostTrak. Currently RT's audience score is at 81%.

    So far Warners hybrid strategy seems to be working.
     

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