It's still going to rely on a whole chain of devices and different providers, whereas DirecTV is a system that gets the video right onto your roof without being dependent on anything else. 1. Rain fade is barely an issue today. It rarely happens, and only for a few minutes at a time. 2. Rain fade will be less of an issue in 2019 and beyond as DirecTV shuts down MPEG-2 SD and can move some of the major HD sports networks, like your ESPNs, TNT, TBS, TruTV (March Madness), FS1, FS2, and a few major conference channels over to Ku band, which is less susceptible to rain fade than Ka. 3. If it's that big of an issue, DirecTV could make it easier for commercial customers to get 1m dishes. And then what about hotels? DirecTV allows them to offer linear TV in the whole hotel while using a negligible amount of internet bandwidth. Airports? Further, I predict some businesses will refuse to put streaming TV on their networks due to security. After the Target breach that was done through an HVAC system, those types of things are moving to 3G and 4G cellular IoT connections, and TV will likely stay on totally isolated systems. Many of which have crappy internet because they are in AT&T areas, and AT&T refuses to build out fiber to them, but that's another story. Even then, there are some truly off-grid isolated users, or mobile users with RVs or boats or whatnot. They investigated it, and they found no evidence of someone purposefully re-routing the traffic. It was clearly a big oops. But as the internet grows, this is absolutely a valid concern, even if they are accidental in nature. I think somebody will keep satellite service around beyond that. There will still be a niche, as long as there is live TV around to watch via the satellite. However, the pay tv market may be significantly consolidated by that point, with far fewer channels, and they may no longer need the entire 99c/101/103c arc, and if they drop locals, and go back to a niche national service, they might go entirely off of one orbital position.