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Discussion in 'General Satellite Discussion' started by Chris Blount, Jun 22, 2006.
D* Platinum will cost over $150 per month in 2016.
Hope there's a elimination of rain fade.
Not bad. Perhaps I should start a predictions website.
NetFlix broke out of the box I drew by becoming an "immediate" service more than an overnight DVD. But we've seen more compression, no new satellite competition (although fiber TV is growing) and on demand has grown to be a useful product.
As for the next five years ... more of the same ...
SAT will be down to only 100 HD channels freeing up SAT capacity for instant on demand.
everything else will be instant on demand either through instant stream from the SAT and or the Internet.
I'm hoping 5 years from now everything will be in HD. :sure:
A focus on mobile/tablet viewing and on-demand content will become the future of satellite TV. Dish Network and it's sling technology is a foreshadowing technology to what most every company will be accomplishing and exceeding in the coming years.
The operating systems for receivers will attempt to become more of a home media server, delivering VOD, music, movies, and the internet in general, on one home system, even networking with your home PC or video game system to deliver content via wireless or network cable.
3D will continue to be shoved down the consumers collective throats until we as a society simply accept that it's going to happen. This will be accelerated when "Glasses Free" 3D technology improves and becomes more viable.
A satellite and/or cable company will purchase Hulu or a similar service, rather than attempting to create their own system, and simply innovate from there in order to merge VOD and Satellite content via a broadband connection.
Five years ago, who'd have thought:
Blockbuster would be bankrupt
Hollywood video would be bankrupt
VCRs would be rare
Computers would fit in the palm of your hand (iPhone for example)
HD would be routine
Can you imagine what'll happen in the next 5?
Five years is an interesting time-span right now. TiVo's patents will just barely still be viable--but who will own them?
AllVid "should" be required by then--but I'm guessing just starting at that point since the current schedule is for December 31, 2012. Hence I'm expecting a slip.
If Allvid happens, satellite (and cable) will change radically. Moxi might be a serious DVR force and work on anyone's MSO system. Who else might be a DVR manufacturer? DIRECTV? Echostar? Sony and Samsung probably.
What else in five years? DIRECTV should have BSS bands in use. But what will that look like? That is a lot of new bandwidth. New LNBs for everyone? New dishes?
Larger hard drives. More pre-downloaded content? But what will Allvid do?
Gateways with hard drives?
No more basic receivers? Perhaps all will have enough ram for 30 minute buffers. Gateways with buffers?
Lots of cool stuff can be coming. And will be very interesting what the effects of Allvid will be.
Well for starters in 5 years we will have our own land-air vehicles that will allow us to go up and readjust the satellites, not just our dish's. But by then the signals will be going directly to our eye implants anyhow.
I know it's simple to sit here five years later and say "I'd have thought all of those things" but it's true.
-The video rental stores were dinosaurs that simply couldn't see that they were becoming obsolete.
-VCRs weren't dead yet, but they were certainly dying.
-The iPhone was announced less than five months after this thread was started, but it wasn't even close to the first smartphone.
-HD was already growing at a very rapid pace.
None of these things are all that surprising if you were into technology back in 2006.
I never sat foot in a Hollywood Video store until their store-closing sales! So... I was neither surprised nor not surprised when that happened.
VCRs were already rare 5 years ago.
Computers in the palm of your hand is actually old tech, even 5 years ago. The PSP came out before that... and the Apple Newton came out WAY before that... several other tablet computers as well... and actually home computers like the TRS-80 Micro-Color Computer and a couple of Timex Sinclair computers were very small... but you had to connect them to a TV for a monitor... still, the computer itself was quite small.
Since HD started in the late 1990s (earlier in Japan)... it really should have been common sooner than it was
And the To Do list will be just as hard to find. They've found a way to torture us and they are not gonna give in.
And we still won't have BBCA in HD...:lol:
I do hope I'm wrong on both predictions.
Given the push to implement higher and weaker frequencies, it seems likely that dishes will get even bigger and LNBs will have to be changed out anyway so the ODU probably isn't a consideration.
The only real question is whether they'll be able to find (and retain) competent installers to install them.
Services like Hulu, Netflix streaming, Vudu, etc (Who knows what new services will appear?) will have gained a lot of ground, while linear programming services become less and less relevant. Traditional cable, and satellite companies will continue to shift their main focus over to such services. Linear services will be still be available, but they will be like SD TV is now, a legacy service. (Linear HD channels may even be removed to make band width for streaming services.) Networks will offer much more programming directly over the internet, reducing the demand for cable and satellite carrier services in favor of faster internet connections.
Dish and Directv will merge or ATT will buy one of them
1. Satellite TV will still be around but both Dish Network and DirecTV will be more into delivering online content. Paradigms will shift into an on-demand culture and satellite will find a way to adjust in order to survive.
2. Transfer of content to mobile devices will be simplified and expanded.
3. The current VOD programming selection will get very, very large as demand for on-demand content gets popular.
4. Set top boxes will get cut to one required per household.
5. Deals will be made with Telco providers so data caps will not be a factor.
6. There is still the possibility that the two major satellite carriers will merge as online content becomes bigger and demand for direct broadcast satellite gets smaller.
7. 3D content will expand but only if glassless TV's become a mainstay and are not too expensive.
This was a pretty good prediction especially with the report published this past week.
Looking back five years, there have been several notable advances which most of us now take for granted that, back then, were not even on the average family's tech horizons.
- flat-panel HDTVs (my home has been a CRT-free zone since 2008!)
- 3D tv (like Spring, 3D came in like a lion and went out like a lamb)
- VoIP (never thought I would ever voip, but now I do!)
- IPTV (Netflix, HULU, etc.)
- Skype (video telephony - getting calls whilst still in my jammies)
- tablet computers (a computing device with no keyboard that can't stand up by itself)
I saw all of those 5 coming. 5 years ago I had cable with VOD on demand, $4 movies that also cost $4 at Blockbuster. I saw the end of retail video stores a mile away.
VCRs were already rare 5 years ago. I threw out about 3 of them in 2004 or so because NO ONE wanted them! D:
I saw the palm computers already, as they were already making great progress on those. I had a blackberry 5 years ago that could do a lot of the same things a smart phone can do now.
I also had no doubt that HD would become common like it is now, including new HD type media such as bluray.
In 5 years the government will force AT&T to break up into regional companies because it is becoming a monopoly! (Why does that sound familiar?) :lol: